The asteroid, called 2024 YR4, is roughly 130 to 300 feet across. It was first reported on Dec. 27, 2024, by the NASA-funded Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System station in Chile. Its impact probability will be refined as more data is collected. It could be ruled out entirely, or it might see its impact probability rise, according to NASA.

The odds that asteroid 2024 YR4 could hit Earth in 2032 recently spiked from a little more than 1% to 2.3% as more observations are made.

Scientists say they expect the asteroid's future trajectory and impact probability to change as astronomers collect and analyze more data.